You Need 7200 lbs of Skittles for Trump Jr.’s Syrian Refugee Analogy

September 22, 2016

 

 

Donald Trump Jr., the presidential candidate’s son, is running a tight race for worst Donald Trump surrogate. He proved once again why he might go down as the worst surrogate after presenting this insanely moronic tweet, equating Syrian refugees with a bowl of Skittles. The analogy seemed innocent enough, especially for the rubes who follow Trump’s every word. In the tweet, he shared an image that said: “If I had a bowl of Skittles and I told you three would kill you would you take a handful?” It finishes saying “That’s our Syrian refugee problem.” There are several difficulties with this line of reasoning, two ultimately come to mind. The number one problem being that the bowl isn’t nearly broad enough to accommodate an actual picture of the statistic. To accommodate this actual statistic, you would need a bowl large enough to fit 7200 lbs. of skittles. This, of course, would refute the point he intended to make in the first place. That’s if you choose to go along with this line of reasoning in the first place.

 

A recent CATO study put out by Alex Nowrasteh just last week utterly demolishes this meme and the closed border argument. In the study, Alex puts your chances of eating a fatal Skittle at one in 1.08 million. Alex responding to the tweet in a CATO piece said:

 

Imagine a bowl full of 3.25 million Skittles that has been accumulated from 1975 to the end of 2015. We know that 20 of the Skittles in that bowl intended to do harm but only three of those 20 are actually fatal. That means that one in 1.08 million of them is deadly. It gets even better though. There are over three hundred million Americans and not everyone can get a Skittle. This means that the chance of any American actually eating the fatal Skittle and perishing is about one in 3.64 billion a year during the 41-year time period. Do you eat from the bowl without quaking in your boots? I would.

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